the money guy
 WHAT HAPPENED
 TO TERMINAL
 PROFITS?

by Harold Montgomery

    The staple profit stream of the ISO business since it was invented has been profits on POS terminals. Originally, merchants paid cash upfront for terminals like the Verifone Zon Jr. Plus. Entrepreneurs who understood leasing caught on and established small ticket leasing companies to finance this purchase.
    Companies like Lease Finance Group and Northern Leasing found a good thing and rode it for years. Leasing allowed ISOs to increase margins on terminal sales by masking the true cash profits they pocketed in a low monthly payment - $69 per month sounded a lot better to a merchant than cutting the ISO a check for $2,000. Nobody begrudged the leasing companies their exceptional returns since their cash was the lifeblood of most ISOs for at least the decade of the 1990’s.
    Banks and processors empowered ISOs to put terminals on every retail countertop in the U.S., and Card Associations backed them up with a powerful proposition: Merchants switching from paper processing to electronic draft capture could get a significantly lower processing rate. Savings from that lower rate more than offset the terminal lease cost. That was a powerful business proposition – and it worked well. Perhaps too well.
    As with any great business proposition with fat profit margins, it’s only great for awhile. Then it becomes merely good, and after that, well, not so good. ISOs did what they were supposed to do – they sold terminals, millions of them. So many, in fact, that a number of merchants I have encountered have two! In the process, natural competition in the marketplace has driven down terminal prices and profits. The chart below reflects what I have seen unfold in our sales group.
    Ten years ago, leases at $69 per month were commonplace. Today, it’s $29, and with “free” terminal programs out there, the merchant’s perceived cost is falling to zero. Will it go lower? I think so. After all, it’s only money!
    The chart below shows that, over the course of the last ten years, the profit on a typical terminal sale has dropped 58%. The net yield after equipment costs probably does not cover the average cost of a sale. This is the key reason that refurbished terminals have become so popular lately – they are cheaper, allowing the ISO to slow this margin collapse for a while but not forever.
    ISOs have been under pressure for years now to keep costs low while fighting falling POS terminal prices. The industry may be near the end of that fight as terminals become free.
    Responding to this trend, ISOs have been looking for new product to move through the sales pipeline to keep margins per sale intact. Gift and loyalty cards, smart cards, check guarantee, debit, even copiers and office supplies. For example, check recovery and guarantee services have been packaged, repackaged, priced and re-priced into all kinds of never before seen packages.
    2006 could be the year in which we discover whether free terminal programs survive, how they are financed, what the risks are, and whether such programs create the desired results of increased market share and profitability for the ISOs who adopted them. One thing is for sure, though. What used to be the primary profit center for ISOs is now a break even or a loss leader used as a means to get merchants. More and more ISOs are being forced to focus on residuals as the primary source of revenue in this industry.
    At the same time, average residuals per merchant per month are also falling. This means that just to hold steady, more and more merchants are required.
    These trends indicate that our industry will consolidate into fewer and larger players. Back in October, Paymentech and Chase Merchant Services announced their combination as a means to cut overhead. Others will follow in 2006.
    What’s emerging is a new model of the industry. Fewer, larger players will appear and drive down costs. Small ISOs will have an increasingly difficult time getting started. Smart, niche oriented ISOs who take advantage of every opportunity will survive and prosper.


 General Time
Period
 Monthly Lease
Payment
 Lease Term  Funding to ISO(*)
 Early 1990’s  $69.00  48  $2,050
 Late 1990’s  $49.00  48  $1,455
 Early 2000’s  $29.00  48  $860
 * This amount is the grow yield from the lease, not including terminal costs, first and last payment on lease, and costs of sales activites, such as salaries, mileage, etc.